News

The Australian Wool Production Forecasting Committee met on Wednesday, 20th November to review its forecast of shorn wool production for the 2019/20 season. The Committee decided to move its meeting forward from December given the continued dry and drought conditions across many of the major sheep and wool producing regions. The dry conditions have resulted in a larger decline in wool volumes tested and offered at auction than the Committee had previously expected. The Committee’s new forecast…

The National Council of Wool Selling Brokers of Australia today opened a wool broking industry historical display at the Sydney Wool Selling Centre in Yennora. The display celebrates the history of the wool broking industry in Australia and is a companion to the NCWSBA historical display in Melbourne. NCWSBA President John Colley opened the display, saying “The Australian wool industry is an iconic part of Australia’s history and its economy. Wool broking companies have been a vital part of…

The premiums for non-mulesed Merino wool jumped in the first quarter of the 2018/19 season to more than 100 cents, according to data and analysis from AWEX. This confirms the anecdotal reports from buyers about the continued very strong demand for non-mulesed wool this season, even as wool prices in general have fallen back. The premiums for non-mulesed wool over equivalent mulesed wool averaged as much as 108 cents/kg for Merino wool in the first three months of the 2019/20 season to…

There are signs in recent weeks of an easing in the tensions between the US and China on the trade front. There has been progress in negotiations between the two countries with reports in the media that the US will hold off from imposing the new additional tariffs on the remaining Chinese goods planned for December. In return, China would begin to remove the embargo it has placed on imports of US agricultural products which has hurt the Mid-West farmers in the US. The Chinese negotiators are…

The latest data on Australian wool exports was released on 7th November. It shows that wool exports from Australia dropped sharply in September compared with a year earlier. The weight of wool exported in September was 35% below the levels in September 2018, while the value of exports was down by a massive 56%. Incredibly, this monthly year-on-year decline by value is the largest seen since June 1990! Exports to the four largest export destinations were down in September by between 27% and 45%…

Australian wool prices have been extremely volatile week by week over the past month or so, after having fallen sharply in August. Despite this volatility, wool prices in Australia have recovered well from the recent low point of 1365 c/kg in the first week of September. It is now 230 cents higher than that low point but is still 121 c/kg (7%) below the level at the start of the season. Have we seen the same decline and volatility in wool prices in other countries? The situation in South Africa…

Cotton prices, as judged by the CotLook A Index (a global benchmark indicator for cotton), have fallen sharply since mid-2018, despite a brief respite at the start of 2019. From a high of 101.5 USc/lb (or 223.7 USc/kg) in June 2018, the CotLook A Index fell by 31% to a low of 70.4 USc/lb (or 155.1 USc/kg) in August. Prices have since recovered a little to 75.2 USc/b (165.8 USc/kg). The fall in prices over the past 15 months is the result of the rise in cotton production outstripping the growth…

The volatility of Australian wool prices in the past few months has been at the highest level in any time in the past 20 or 30 years. Price volatility can be assessed by looking at standard deviation of the weekly change in prices, annualised. The volatility of the Eastern Market Indicator has leapt in the past few months after a period of relatively low volatility between 2016 and 2018. Volatility of the EMI is currently at the highest level in at least the past 20 years. The extreme…

Wool prices have dropped sharply in the past few months, reflecting sharply lower demand and comes despite the lower volumes of wool available from Australia. The fall in demand is illustrated by the decline in the volume of wool exported by the five major wool exporting countries (Australia, New Zealand, Argentina, South Africa and Uruguay). For the first eight months of 2019, total wool exports from these five countries were 11% lower than for the same period in 2018. At just 352 mkg greasy,…

According to data from AWTA, the weight of wool tested across Australia fell sharply compared with September 2018, continuing the downward trend seen so far this season. Across Australia, there was a 13.7% drop in the weight of wool tested for the month. At just 24.28 mkg it is the lowest total for September in many, many years. As a result, there was a 14% drop in the weight of wool tested in the first quarter of the 2019/20 season. This is a larger decline than the current forecast from the…

The Nanjing Wool Market Conference was held on 21st and 22nd September in Qufu, China. The mood of many of the attendees and of the presenters was quite pessimistic. Their concerns stem from the US-China trade war and its effect, not just directly for the wool textile industry in China, but also on economic growth and consumer confidence in China, as well as the impact on other economies. Demand through the wool textile industry has slowed, not just in China but around the world, and stocks…

When the price distributions were last reviewed on 8th February, the EMI was at 1944 Ac/kg and 1380 USc/kg, which was at the 98th percentile in A$ and the 96th percentile in US$. As at 20th September, the EMI had fallen to 1542 Ac/kg (the 93rd percentile) and 1047 USc/kg (the 85th percentile). While wool prices from 30 micron down have all fallen since February, the largest declines have been for Merino wool which are 20% to 25% lower in A$ terms and 23% to 29% lower in US$ terms. [The A$ is…

At its meeting on 22nd August, the NCWSBA Board decided unanimously to support the call for the mandatory use of anaesthetic/analgesia when surgical mulesing is conducted. As is now well known, WoolProducers Australia and some state farming organisations have adopted a policy of seeking the mandatory use of pain-relief for surgical mulesing. This is being supported by Sheep Producers Australia. The Board of NCWSBA considered the results of a survey of its members which showed that the…

There is now a Wool Broker and Livestock Agents Online Training Course available to help prepare for if and when there is an outbreak of an Emergency Animal Disease in Australia, such as Foot and Mouth Disease. The course has been developed under the direction of WoolProducers Australia and SheepProducers Australia with funding from Animal Health Australia. The course is designed to inform and train wool and livestock selling agents about how to recognise and respond to a suspected Emergency…